Sunday, December 1, 2013

Week 13 Preview: Dolphins at Jets, Second of Many I Don't Know Anymore Articles

Photo from
Dolphins: T Jonathan Martin (illness), CB Dimitri Patterson (groin), CB Jamar Taylor (hamstring), RB Daniel Thomas (ankle)

Jets: None.

Dolphins: None.

Jets: None.

Dolphins: S Chris Clemons (knee/hamstring)

Jets: DB Antonio Allen (illness),DB Antonio Cromartie (hip, WR Santonio Holmes (foot/hamstring), WR Jeremy Kerley, LB Garrett McIntyre (knee)

Dolphins: G Sam Brenner (knee), WR Rishard Matthews (back), LB Koa Misi (knee) practiced in full
WR Marlon Moore (hamstring), DL Jared Odrick (knee), RB Marcus Thigpen (wrist), S Jimmy Wilson (abdomen)

Jets: OL Willie Colon (calf), DL Kenrick Ellis (back), WR Stephen Hill (knee), RB Chris Ivory (ankle), OL Nick Mangold (wrist), CB Dee Milliner (wrist), WR Greg Salas (finger), DE Mo Wilkerson (wrist), TE Kellen Winslow (knee)
I hate having to preview each one of these Jets games, because, no matter what I say is going to happen, there's an all too real chance that the Jets will just ignore all logic and pull out an unexpected victory, like in Week 9 against the Saints, or get dominated for no reason (see: Week 11 in Buffalo).

Anyway, I must continue with this madness, so here goes.

Geno Smith has played horribly the last two weeks. But he's a rookie. Rookies make mistakes. Rookies make many mistakes, sometimes fatal. Not every rookie quarterback is going to be Andrew Luck, Robert Griffin III, Russell Wilson, nor Cam Newton. It just doesn't work like that. Just because Smith is struggling right now doesn't mean that he has no future in the league. It doesn't mean that the only chance the Jets is if they start Matt Simms for the rest of the year. So everyone needs to stop being so quick to jump off of the bandwagon. The impatience of some fans is appalling. 

As for this game, Geno won't need to do so much. The Dolphins have the league's 25 ranked run defense, so expect to see a lot of Bilal Powell and even more of Chris Ivory today. They aren't great against the pass either, sitting at 19th in the league, so when the Jets need to make a play downfield, Geno Smith can probably do it. But he's be relegated to mainly a game manager role during the game, as he has in recent weeks. 

The Dolphins offensive line is an absolute wreck, so watch out for sacks on sacks on sacks for Snacks and the boys. Tannehill will be under a lot of pressure during the game, and while he is certainly mobile enough to avoid pressure, it will be coming from all sides today, and it will be tough to deal with. 

The thing I am most afraid of in this game is Mike Wallace. Thanks to an awful showing by Antonio Cromartie this season, the Jets have been susceptible to the big play. As much as I hate him, Mike Wallace will be a huge factor today. If he can beat his man off the line, he's probably gone for a touchdown.

So there's a tradeoff. Will Tannehill have enough time to convert on most of those deep bombs to Wallace? I think not, and that will be the key for the Jets today. 

As always, I have zero confidence in this pick. 

JETS (-1) over Dolphins. 

Jets 23, Dolphins 21. 

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