Tonight's Game 5 will swing this series toward the eventual winner. I believe that whoever comes out on top tonight will go on to hoist the Larry O'Brien trophy later this week. In my post from yesterday, I suggested that the health of Tony Parker would determine what chance the Spurs have on winning this series. That's something I can't count on, especially after his injured hamstring caused him so much trouble in the second half of Game 4.
If he's not playing at a superstar level, the Spurs can only win if Kawhi Leonard, Danny Green, and Gary Neal are hitting threes early and often. The problem is that they rely heavily on Parker to create shots for them, so it ill be nearly impossible against the Heat and their newfound defensive intensity.
With that, I'm predicting the Miami Heat to take Game 5 on the road tonight and go back to Miami up 3-2 in the series, with a chance to close it out on Tuesday night.
If Miami wins tonight, they will definitely close it out in 6 or 7; the Spurs have no shot at beating them two in a row with a diminished Parker. Now if San Antonio steals it tonight, the Heat still have a very good chance at winning it all. It's unfortunate that Tony Parker's hamstring has affected and will affect so much in the series, but it is what it is.
Enjoy Game 5!
And hey, if it's a blowout, maybe Tracy McGrady will finally score at least 1 point in his NBA Finals career.